The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting **SIGNED 1st Edition /1st Printing + Photo**
de Greenspan, Alan
- Nuevo
- Tapa dura
- First
- Estado
- Nuevo/new
- ISBN 10
- 1594204810
- ISBN 13
- 9781594204814
- Librería
-
Romeoville, Illinois, United States
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Sobre este artículo
Sinopsis
Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us? To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we’re conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we’re steering by out-of-date maps, when we’re not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control. The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author’s own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can’t.The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming. No map is the territory, but Greenspan’s approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state.
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Detalles
- Librería
- JLJ Books (US)
- Inventario del vendedor #
- 000911
- Título
- The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting **SIGNED 1st Edition /1st Printing + Photo**
- Autor
- Greenspan, Alan
- Formato/Encuadernación
- Hardback
- Estado del libro
- Nuevo
- Estado de la sobrecubierta
- new
- Cantidad disponible
- 1
- Edición
- First edition
- Encuadernación
- Tapa dura
- ISBN 10
- 1594204810
- ISBN 13
- 9781594204814
- Editorial
- Penguin Press HC, The
- Lugar de publicación
- New York, New York, U.S.A.
- Fecha de publicación
- 2013
- Palabras clave
- Business & Economics; Economic forecasting; Economic Policy; Economics; Financial crises; Forecasting; Non-Fiction; Political Science; Public Policy; Risk; Theory; United States
Términos de venta
JLJ Books
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Sobre el vendedor
JLJ Books
Sobre JLJ Books
Glosario
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- Title Page
- A page at the front of a book which may contain the title of the book, any subtitles, the authors, contributors, editors, the...
- Book Club Edition
- A generic term denoting a book which was produced or distributed by one of any number of book club organizations. Usually the...
- First Edition
- In book collecting, the first edition is the earliest published form of a book. A book may have more than one first edition in...
- Jacket
- Sometimes used as another term for dust jacket, a protective and often decorative wrapper, usually made of paper which wraps...